Traffic Forecasting

Producing robust, insightful traffic forecasts

• Short Term Forecasts for Individual Routes
• Long Term Forecasts for Airport Master Plans
• Traffic Forecasts to Inform Financial Transactions
• Market Risk Analysis
• Detailed Analysis by Market Sector

Traffic Forecasts
AviaSolutions has a dedicated forecasting team of industry professionals, with extensive international traffic forecast experience.

The core team is supported by a range of senior associates who can provide specialist insight into particular markets or sub-sectors (e.g. cargo). Assignments range from forecasting a single route to producing long term traffic forecasts for a whole region, airline or airport group.

Our forecasts are often used in support of acquisition bids or refinancing. We have experience of presenting our forecasts to banks, and are familiar with the types of questions typically asked. Our forecasts mix intellectual rigour (including in depth statistical analysis) with detailed practical knowledge of the aviation industry. Unlike other organisations, we avoid a “black box” style approach. The particular circumstances drive the forecasting approach adopted.

Finally, we actively seek views from stakeholders such as tourist bodies, development agencies, base airlines etc. This ensures the results from the forecasting exercises have a solid grounding.

Our clients also value the insights our work provides as well as the actual traffic forecasts. Typically, we provide an analysis of the key drivers of traffic growth –and how sensitive the forecasts are to changes in these key drivers.

We also discuss with airports and airlines how they can influence traffic growth –for example, by targeting certain traffic types.